Take a look at some of the trades from this morning in the Fed Fund options market. What you will see is cheap bets for rates to move below the current Fed effective of rate of just 12 basis points or 0.12%. Note the activity in the 9887.5 - 9993.75 call spreads. No idication hear of any policy tightening.
| Filled Orders | |||||
| House | Buy/Sell | Quantity | Strike | Price | Futures |
| 690 | Sold | 350 | G-50/+81 Combo | Even | G9975-5+ |
| 690 | Bot | 1000 | G+50/-81 Combo | Even | G9975-5+ |
| 690 | Sold | 1000 | Z87/93c 1x2 | 1 | Z9984-4+ |
| 714 | Bot | 1000 | Z87/93c 1x2 | 1 | Z9984-4+ |
| 690 | Bot | 500 | H68/75/81c Fly | 1.5 | H9971-1+ |
| 690 | Sold | 500 | H68/75/81c Fly | 1.5 | H9971-1+ |
| 690 | Bot | 1200 | H87/93c 1x2 | .5 | H9971-1+ |
| 690 | Sold | 1100 | H87/93c 1x2 | .5 | H9971-1+ |
| 825 | Sold | 600 | H87/93c 1x2 | .5 | H9971-1+ |
| 690 | Bot | 300 | H93c | .25 | H9971-1+ |
| 690 | Bot | 1500 | G87c | .75 | G9975-5+ |
| 690 | Bot | 300 | G93c | .25 | G9975-5+ |
| 714 | Sold | 2000 | G87c | .75 | G9975-5+ |
| 915 | Bot | 500 | G87c | .5 | G9975-5+ |
| 690 | Bot | 350 | G/H 81c cal | .5 | |
| 690 | Sold | 350 | G/H 81c cal | .5 | |
| 287 | Bot | 1400 | Z50p | .5 | Z9984-4+ |
| 281 | Sold | 1650 | V/X 87c Stupid | 1.75 | |
| 690 | Sold | 300 | X87/93c 1x2 | 1 | X9985-5+ |
| 287 | Bot | 300 | X87/93c 1x2 | 1 | X9985-5+ |
| 690 | Sold | 1000 | G68/75c | 5 | G9975-5+ |
| 915 | Bot | 500 | G68/75c | 5 | G9975-5+ |
| 714 | Sold | 500 | Z87c | 1.5 | Z9984-4+ |
| 915 | Sold | 375 | G81p | 8 | G9975-5+ |
| 825 | Bot | 1000 | Z87/93c 1x2 | 1 | Z9984-4+ |
| 690 | Bot | 100 | X+50/+56/-62p Tree | .25 | Z9984-4+ |
| 915 | Bot | 500 | H87/93c 1x2 | .5 | H9971-1+ |
| 815 | Bot | 450 | H81/87c | 1.75 | H9971+-2 |
| 690 | Sold | 450 | H81/87c | 1.75 | H9971+-2 |
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